Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.404432 0.470712 0.544055 0.631183 0.731821 0.844373 0.979770
2025-03-09 0.292050 0.379832 0.487719 0.629838 0.811915 1.037168 1.336852
2025-03-16 0.223494 0.314783 0.435728 0.607216 0.843658 1.157723 1.606177
2025-03-23 0.197851 0.297192 0.437005 0.647319 0.954827 1.387093 2.039983
2025-03-30 0.163411 0.259839 0.402993 0.629835 0.979039 1.494846 2.313031
2025-04-06 0.136257 0.228096 0.371154 0.608707 0.991688 1.582999 2.562858
2025-04-13 0.115211 0.202209 0.343848 0.589349 1.002208 1.665905 2.810329
2025-04-20 0.102767 0.188374 0.333503 0.595117 1.052344 1.814865 3.178057
2025-04-27 0.096535 0.184177 0.338390 0.626575 1.148328 2.048181 3.710821
2025-05-04 0.089171 0.176750 0.336415 0.645189 1.223253 2.252446 4.214311
2025-05-11 0.081172 0.166911 0.328632 0.651819 1.276555 2.423129 4.674689
2025-05-18 0.073027 0.155574 0.316466 0.648312 1.309815 2.559710 5.084995
2025-05-25 0.065222 0.144036 0.302848 0.641051 1.336510 2.689717 5.503257
2025-06-01 0.059034 0.135031 0.293211 0.640721 1.377223 2.851673 6.003610
2025-06-08 0.051595 0.122199 0.273950 0.617761 1.368474 2.914140 6.309872
2025-06-15 0.050376 0.123095 0.283947 0.658543 1.498510 3.271697 7.263122
2025-06-22 0.044728 0.112913 0.268323 0.640763 1.499300 3.359293 7.652960
2025-06-29 0.039523 0.103012 0.252024 0.619279 1.489012 3.421488 7.993259
2025-07-06 0.035068 0.094295 0.237330 0.599594 1.480282 3.485641 8.343910
2025-07-13 0.032632 0.090346 0.233510 0.605460 1.532101 3.690880 9.037906
2025-07-20 0.031839 0.090585 0.239984 0.637449 1.650419 4.060874 10.154996
2025-07-27 0.030386 0.088838 0.241235 0.656376 1.738621 4.368796 11.155343
2025-08-03 0.028457 0.085495 0.237940 0.663118 1.796788 4.610294 12.018334